Prediction of Daniele Augenti vs Nikolay Vylegzhanin at M15 Monastir 12-03-25

• In recent months, Nikolay Vylegzhanin has a slight edge over Daniele Augenti in second serve performance, winning 40.82% of points compared to Augenti's 39.29%.
• Return game efficiency is notably stronger for Vylegzhanin, who wins 52.61% of points on opponents' second serves, while Augenti wins 42.22%. Vylegzhanin also fares better on first serve returns at 29.72% against Augenti's 20.00%.
• How does each player handle pressure situations? Vylegzhanin shows resilience, saving 46.65% of breakpoints compared to Augenti's 26.67%.
• Nikolay Vylegzhanin holds a performance advantage with a 55.22% match win rate over the past year, while Daniele Augenti has won just 23.53% of his matches.
• Both players have their best career performance on hard courts. However, Vylegzhanin has a similar win percentage to Augenti on this surface, but his clay performance of 49% far outshines Augenti's 17%.
• In the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments, Vylegzhanin excels with a 63.04% win rate, outpacing Augenti's 23.53%.
• Vylegzhanin tends to face players with a lower average ranking (427.88) compared to Augenti's opponents (52.53), possibly affecting their match outcomes.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Vylegzhanin has historically fared better, winning 45% of such sets, while Augenti hasn't won any in the past year.
• During break point opportunities, Vylegzhanin has a significant conversion rate of 35.50%, overshadowing Augenti's 11.11%.

Editorial Prediction (December 3, 2025, UTC):

As both players prepare for their match, Nikolay Vylegzhanin appears to have a significant advantage in several key areas. His consistency in second serve returns and ability to save breakpoints suggest a stronger mental edge in crucial moments.

Augenti's lower win rate and inability to convert break points at a high level highlight potential vulnerabilities that Vylegzhanin may exploit. The tendency of Vylegzhanin to perform well in deciding sets also strengthens his position as the favorite.

Given these factors, Nikolay Vylegzhanin is the most likely winner in the upcoming match, demonstrating superior recent form and in-match adaptability.